Strategic Study

Distributed Generation

Photovoltaic Market in Brazil

1st semester 2023

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Executive Summary

Strategic Study

Distributed Generation

1st semester 2023

The volume of PV modules demanded by the Brazilian market in the 1st half of 2023 exceeded 7 GW

Despite the 19% drop compared to the same period in 2022, the market enabled investments of more than R$25 billion for distributed generation and large plants.

PV system prices have an average drop of 17% in June 2023 compared to January

Decrease in module costs, devaluation of the dollar and high level of wholesale equipment inventory were factors that contributed to the drop in prices for the final consumer.

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System financing enabled 48% of sales made in the 1st half of 2023

The high interest rate and the increased perception of risk on the part of banks result in more restricted credit to the market.

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Improved return on investment in PV systems, with a 15% reduction in payback for local residential installations

When compared to January 2023, the drop in the price of PV systems (CAPEX) is the main factor for this variation.

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Photovoltaic Modules
Imported Volume [MWp]

Distributed e Centralized Generation
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The volume of PV modules demanded by the Brazilian market in the first half of 2023 exceeded 7 GW – despite a 19% drop compared to the same period in 2022.

Photovoltaic Kit Prices

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PV kit prices in June 2023 showed an average reduction of 23% compared to January 2023.

Post 14.300 Attractiveness

The GD I and GD II scenarios for January 2023 have not changed. On the other hand, there was an improvement in payback, with a 15% reduction for 4kWp residential systems, comparing the 2023 periods of GD II in June with GD I in January.

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